Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 25.530028 29.040424 32.879804 37.394287 42.562095 48.298649 55.157292
2025-01-05 20.092284 24.786575 30.369376 37.514091 46.438495 57.248818 71.384214
2025-01-12 16.084384 21.169005 27.635265 36.495726 48.375827 63.830952 85.587496
2025-01-19 13.484743 18.727146 25.776617 36.005160 50.562894 70.681450 100.842526
2025-01-26 12.104454 17.617581 25.402086 37.280517 55.102345 81.090553 122.305533
2025-02-02 11.158242 16.933538 25.451635 39.050203 60.446112 93.199605 147.871138
2025-02-09 10.093823 15.898687 24.799816 39.596659 63.894356 102.757393 170.708439
2025-02-16 8.925848 14.535301 23.442150 38.798148 65.007021 108.627907 188.192092
2025-02-23 7.976615 13.395742 22.282839 38.132552 66.175621 114.617835 206.554423
2025-03-02 7.200536 12.445332 21.310427 37.631604 67.504311 120.951703 226.277739
2025-03-09 6.612790 11.746019 20.675519 37.621508 69.659937 128.946729 250.092123
2025-03-16 6.092140 11.103903 20.062224 37.558878 71.673902 136.864299 274.772521
2025-03-23 5.803180 10.869814 20.190731 38.960522 76.779915 151.572823 315.788515
2025-03-30 5.396512 10.371884 19.777487 39.274779 79.806348 162.630142 351.065819
2025-04-06 4.881092 9.606702 18.767448 38.273470 80.015557 167.950628 374.772872
2025-04-13 4.482463 9.027073 18.053912 37.781977 81.206892 175.446022 404.421116
2025-04-20 4.310660 8.887697 18.208659 39.132487 86.548190 192.656744 459.311502
2025-04-27 4.197930 8.857595 18.582640 40.997931 93.274764 213.877313 527.290547
2025-05-04 3.978618 8.575871 18.390886 41.574259 97.105687 228.900008 582.296455
2025-05-11 3.664306 8.053790 17.621734 40.734413 97.471272 235.686850 617.178377
2025-05-18 3.390965 7.595307 16.946358 40.034169 98.082879 243.149562 655.071602
2025-05-25 3.155312 7.198961 16.371321 39.507096 99.056697 251.650428 697.218393
2025-06-01 2.975069 6.913289 16.023187 39.496493 101.347802 263.867820 751.920668